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Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”
Posted inStatistics

Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”

The answer to the question Why "The Science" Settled On "Carbon" is easy. The Science settled on "carbon" because it's easy. See? Easy is the answer, as promised. Now that…
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Class 6: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Probability’s Entrance!
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 6: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Probability’s Entrance!

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Part 1 Rumble Part 2 (Rumble only allows files of < 2 GB) Bitchute HOMEWORK 1. Finish that last step in…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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How Saying “Food Production Battered By Climate Change” Illustrates The Corruption Of The American Regime
Posted inStatistics

How Saying “Food Production Battered By Climate Change” Illustrates The Corruption Of The American Regime

In an interview with Ed Luttwak, who is always worth listening to, he being one of those rare souls that crop up in history who seem to know everybody important,…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…
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  1. Greg Ostman on New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s LookMay 14, 2025

    All Astro physics to me but how about just take the numbers of vaxed and unvaxed then see how many…

  2. Paul Murphy on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 14, 2025

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  3. cdquarles on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 14, 2025

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