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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
Posted inClass Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
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One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool
Posted inStatistics

One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool

Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections…
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Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
Posted inStatistics

Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland

This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
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The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example
Posted inCulture

The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example

Ed Lorenz back in 1961 was running, on a computer!, a simple weather model, with twelve full parameters. This was in the days of punch cards and paper print outs.…
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Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?
Posted inStatistics

Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?

The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): "Now we're all here…
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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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  1. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

  3. Uncle Mike on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    Gratitude (n.) mid-15c., "good will," from Latin gratus "thankful, pleasing, agreeable" related to Latin gratis "favor, mercy, virtue" (source of…

  4. Tracy Platt on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    I think Rudolf comes closest except for this being a garbage problem. My guess is we will see similar arguments…

  5. John Pate on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    Mr Harrier is on the right lines: see previous blog where I was berating sundry for worrying about using probability…

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