Search Results for “polls” – Page 3

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Fun

How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy

As usual, we had many predictions for 2023, too many to list them all. As before, I’ll only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave. For…

Culture

Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms

Remember that New Jersey school system that adds "climate change" propaganda to every class in each year of schooling, kindergarten through twelfth grade? They, and schools like them, are doing…

Statistics

Panel Of Scientists To Vote On Official Disinformation, Official Truths

One of the things you're sick of reading, and I'm tired of writing, is that if there is such a thing as Official Disinformation, there must necessarily be Official Truth,…

Culture

Election Open Thread: We Did It To Ourselves Again

I am pleased to announce my prediction came true. On Monday, I said "My prediction is that Unhappiness increases, regardless who wins whatever offices." Nailed it. Maxine Waters won re-election.…

Statistics

Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX

Last week, there was some good news. This week, it's mostly bad. I AM SPARTACUS I am not the Spartacus, but I am Spartacus. If you have seen the movie,…

Culture

The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There always comes a time when everything becomes clear. Even in the fog of battle. That thought defined the night of Sept. 14th, when Gavin Newsom retained his governor’s chair…

Statistics

Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken

Many will have already seen my analysis of Matt Braynard's poll asking people in several states whether they requested an absentee ballot, and whether or not they returned that ballot.…

Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…
spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…
JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…
fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…
fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…