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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy
Posted inFun

How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy

As usual, we had many predictions for 2023, too many to list them all. As before, I’ll only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave. For…
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Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms
Posted inCulture

Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms

Remember that New Jersey school system that adds "climate change" propaganda to every class in each year of schooling, kindergarten through twelfth grade? They, and schools like them, are doing…
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Panel Of Scientists To Vote On Official Disinformation, Official Truths
Posted inStatistics

Panel Of Scientists To Vote On Official Disinformation, Official Truths

One of the things you're sick of reading, and I'm tired of writing, is that if there is such a thing as Official Disinformation, there must necessarily be Official Truth,…
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Election Open Thread: We Did It To Ourselves Again
Posted inCulture

Election Open Thread: We Did It To Ourselves Again

I am pleased to announce my prediction came true. On Monday, I said "My prediction is that Unhappiness increases, regardless who wins whatever offices." Nailed it. Maxine Waters won re-election.…
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Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX
Posted inStatistics

Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX

Last week, there was some good news. This week, it's mostly bad. I AM SPARTACUS I am not the Spartacus, but I am Spartacus. If you have seen the movie,…
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The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There always comes a time when everything becomes clear. Even in the fog of battle. That thought defined the night of Sept. 14th, when Gavin Newsom retained his governor’s chair…
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Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken
Posted inStatistics

Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken

Many will have already seen my analysis of Matt Braynard's poll asking people in several states whether they requested an absentee ballot, and whether or not they returned that ballot.…
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  1. John Pate on A New Kind Of University: Your Comments WantedAugust 30, 2026

    Not convinced you're encroaching on the functions of the universities with this initiative. Seems to me the primary functions of…

  2. APC Carrier on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 29, 2026

    Mankind will never go extinct. We know that indirectly from Scripture. Jesus said "when the Son of Man comes back,…

  3. John Pate on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 28, 2026

    Another thing to model: the age at which the mother gives birth to the children. Mothers who give birth in…

  4. Dennis Larkin on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    Medieval Cathars avoided sexual carnality. They fought militarily against the kings for a time, going down to defeat, while their…

  5. JRob on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesAugust 27, 2026

    re: Shawn Marshall Just yesterday my email folder contained a conservative political call to oppose the upcoming abortion amendment to…

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