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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy
Posted inFun

How Did We Do In Our 2023 Predictions? Lousy

As usual, we had many predictions for 2023, too many to list them all. As before, I’ll only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave. For…
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Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms
Posted inCulture

Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms

Remember that New Jersey school system that adds "climate change" propaganda to every class in each year of schooling, kindergarten through twelfth grade? They, and schools like them, are doing…
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Panel Of Scientists To Vote On Official Disinformation, Official Truths
Posted inStatistics

Panel Of Scientists To Vote On Official Disinformation, Official Truths

One of the things you're sick of reading, and I'm tired of writing, is that if there is such a thing as Official Disinformation, there must necessarily be Official Truth,…
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Election Open Thread: We Did It To Ourselves Again
Posted inCulture

Election Open Thread: We Did It To Ourselves Again

I am pleased to announce my prediction came true. On Monday, I said "My prediction is that Unhappiness increases, regardless who wins whatever offices." Nailed it. Maxine Waters won re-election.…
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Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX
Posted inStatistics

Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX

Last week, there was some good news. This week, it's mostly bad. I AM SPARTACUS I am not the Spartacus, but I am Spartacus. If you have seen the movie,…
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The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There always comes a time when everything becomes clear. Even in the fog of battle. That thought defined the night of Sept. 14th, when Gavin Newsom retained his governor’s chair…
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Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken
Posted inStatistics

Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken

Many will have already seen my analysis of Matt Braynard's poll asking people in several states whether they requested an absentee ballot, and whether or not they returned that ballot.…
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  1. Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026

    I’m ready to give up the right to vote.

  2. spetzer86 on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 5, 2026

    Could this scenario validate (A) and (D)? (A): When living in a country with a strong, pervasive religious belief, particularly…

  3. spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026

    I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.

  4. Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

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