Posted inStatistics
Why The Drake Equation Fails
Most of us have seen the Drake equation, in one its many forms, which purports to put a number on how many alien civilizations have iPhones. There has been much…
Posted inStatistics
How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
Due to the length of tomorrow's and today's post, there will be no post Wednesday. Video at bottom. Word is out (I learned via, naturally, Steve Sailer) about a new…
Posted inStatistics
Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
Posted inStatistics
The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
Posted inStatistics
Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
Posted inStatistics
The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
Posted inStatistics
The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
Posted inStatistics
Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…