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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this:     …
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There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
Posted inClass Statistics

There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either

I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2

Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
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Is Presuming Innocence A Bayesian Prior?
Posted inStatistics

Is Presuming Innocence A Bayesian Prior?

Note An earlier version of this post was accidentally sent out in unedited form. My enemies caused me to hit the wrong button. Subscribers: apologies for the near duplicate email.…
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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Probability Resources, Why Frequentism Fails & Uncertainty

From the mailbag, reader I.W. writes: Dear Professor, I represent social science (but of a priori bent), and I recently got really hooked on frequentialism. After all, prof. Mises employed…
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Dissolving & Not Resolving The Fermi Paradox
Posted inStatistics

Dissolving & Not Resolving The Fermi Paradox

Paper by Anders Sandberg, Eric Drexler and Toby Ord of the Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University made the news last week. "Dissolving the Fermi Paradox", on Arxiv (and therefore…
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Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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  1. spetzer86 on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025

    If you'd like a wide selection of radio stations from around the world: https://radio.garden/visit/tefe-am/JSbjvYLx is pretty fun. It's always amazing…

  2. Briggs on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025

    bruce, Absolutely nowhere will you find me "rejecting" IQ. The opposite is the case. I go out of my way,…

  3. bruce g charlton on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025

    @WMB - I think you are off on a false trail here. Using "not perfect" as a reason for rejecting…

  4. MikeW on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025

    Radio is not ending sadly. It is happily transitioning to internet streaming radio. My favorite is the Instrumental Channel on…

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