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Statistician to the Stars!

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Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties

I once did a talk on this subject at Spain's Royal Institute of Science during the first global warming panic, but I did a lousy job. Now, at the time…
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More On Why Falsifiability Is Not Interesting
Posted inStatistics

More On Why Falsifiability Is Not Interesting

Take a look-see at this science pic: This is the output from some model, the nature of which is not especially interesting, and the accompanying observations. In other words, predictions…
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Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model
Posted inStatistics

Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model

Reporter Leslie Stahl once had herself filmed walking by a power plant's smokestack. She said, "There could be anything coming out of there." Unless "we" acted. She asked her ardent…
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There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse
Posted inStatistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…
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The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues
Posted inStatistics

The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues

"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…
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How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…
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Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…
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Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists
Posted inStatistics

Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists

This will appear obscure to you. It isn't. The errors here are fundamental, and cascade all throughout science. They account for, in part, why science has become so bad. The…
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    I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…

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    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

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    Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…

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    The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…

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