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Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation

Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…
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Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed
Posted inStatistics

Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed

The answer is yes. Or, if you prefer, no. It depends. Here's a long query about the subject from friend-of-the-blog Kevin Gray. Over the years many have disagreed about many…
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The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 6 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. This again is only a brief excerpt from a long chapter which investigates our fascination with celebrities, ignorant…
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Register Your Predictions for 2022!
Posted inCulture Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2022!

My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at…
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The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
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CDC Lies To Itself, And You, On Vax Immunity; The Lancet Study Which Shows Vaccination Does Little;  More! — Coronavirus Update CIV
Posted inStatistics

CDC Lies To Itself, And You, On Vax Immunity; The Lancet Study Which Shows Vaccination Does Little; More! — Coronavirus Update CIV

HELP Please comment below if you know of ties to specific vaccines and fetal tissues. Thanks. THE PURGES BEGIN https://twitter.com/_Andy_Boyd_/status/1454955163047940100 See the whole thread. Doc with natural acquired immunity after…
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As Predicted, Vexxine Efficacy Shrinks Once Out Of The Hands Of Pharmaceuticals
Posted inStatistics

As Predicted, Vexxine Efficacy Shrinks Once Out Of The Hands Of Pharmaceuticals

Part The First: Observations How good is the Pfizer vex in practice? Ask them---or any Expert or ruler---and they will say...well, let's not ask them what they would say. It…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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