Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!
Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
Posted inStatistics
Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper
Now I ask you: If you have a computer and want to do a simulation, you must write the code for it. Yes? It doesn't matter what form this code…
Posted inCulture
Take This Fun Political Quiz Inspired By Canadian Truckers
QUIZ Test your knowledge of politics and political theory with this Fun Quiz! 1. Name the form of government in which it is illegal to criticize the regime. 2. Define…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation
Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…
Posted inStatistics
Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed
The answer is yes. Or, if you prefer, no. It depends. Here's a long query about the subject from friend-of-the-blog Kevin Gray. Over the years many have disagreed about many…
Posted inBook review Culture
The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Today, an excerpt of Chapter 6 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. This again is only a brief excerpt from a long chapter which investigates our fascination with celebrities, ignorant…
Register Your Predictions for 2022!
My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at…
Posted inBook review Culture
The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…