Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…

Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I've pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two…

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…

WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…

I've used this gimmick many times, so regular readers, please, shhh. I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 4. What is it? To you the number is random, because…