Posted inPhilosophy
What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example
There is, as de Finetti said, no such thing as probability. So there is no such thing as risk, either, since risk relies upon probability. If there is no such…
Posted inStatistics
Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII
EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis
The burden of proof that lockdowns work is clearly on those imposing and supporting lockdowns. Lockdown skeptics are under no obligation whatsoever to show lockdowns do not work. Lockdowns are…
Posted inPhilosophy
Is Mandatory Vaccination Against COVID-19 Precautionary? — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
This post originally ran at Hanekamp's own site1. He is a chemist and theologian. My love and I are fortunate enough to have three children, now in their twenties. They…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny
I originally had this scheduled for Monday, but shifted to Wednesday because of the z-score mania. So I'm sure there can be many more things to add to this. Last…
Posted inStatistics
Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom
After I wrote this, I went over to Drudge, which I rarely do these days, and he's on full blown hersteria about Trump's illness. Hilarious. So Trump has caught the…
Posted inStatistics
The Expansion-Team Effect Guarantees A Plague Of Experts
We've discussed before the expansion-team effect. For newer readers, this is when a sport, like soccer, is gaining in popularity, the enthusiasm leading to the creation of new teams, like…
Posted inStatistics
How Will Experts End The Panic They Created? — Coronavirus Update XC
ENDEMICITY I can't do a better job than this article---Why COVID-19 Is Here to Stay, and Why You Shouldn’t Worry About It by Philip Lemoine---on showing you why coronadoom is…
