William M. Briggs

The Threat Of President Meghan Markle Demands We Revisit Goodwin’s Anti-Suffrage Arguments

I awoke Tuesday morning to a horrifying, ghastly sight. One that depressed my soul more than I had thought possible. The cliche "it shook me to my core" cast off…

Statistics

We Get An I-Told-You-So On The J&J Vax: Also Taiwan Panic Projection Update

We warned you about the J&J vaccine. And now the FDA is warning you, too. First a fond review of our warnings, then some news about the FDA's cautions. On…

Statistics

Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation

Update https://twitter.com/TaylorLorenz/status/1526933945949990912 Original story. Before we get into this, it is interesting to note that if I had kept my original headline, "Attempting to make global warming skepticism illegal", it…

Culture

Two Ruth Sent Us Angry Women Invade A Catholic Church: A Vision

The story opened like this: Pro-abortion activists are planning protests in churches on Mother’s Day and are preparing visits to Supreme Court justices’ homes next week to express anger over…

Philosophy

The Step Back Shuffle Problem In The Origin Of Life

Science does not know what life is. Which is to say, the definition of life is not scientific. Science begins with the definition---supplied by outside sources and methods---and then does…

Statistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…

Culture Philosophy

“Let Us Kill! Let Us Kill!” The Left Chants As Justice Alito Smiles On

Propagandists are celebrating. Not the possibility that ghouls calling themselves "doctors" will no longer be able to kill legally the lives inside would-be mothers---and use the dead bodies in various…

Culture

The Disinformation Governance Board Was Conceived After The 2016 Meme Wars: It Was Formed To Stop Trump 2.0: Here’s How It Will Work

The creepiest government agency will become the home of the official Ministry of Truth I have been warning you about these many years, announced right after Musk bought Twitter. Do…

hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025
I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…
hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025
> It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…
Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…
JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025
How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

William M. Briggs

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?

Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

The Threat Of President Meghan Markle Demands We Revisit Goodwin’s Anti-Suffrage Arguments

We Get An I-Told-You-So On The J&J Vax: Also Taiwan Panic Projection Update

Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation

Two Ruth Sent Us Angry Women Invade A Catholic Church: A Vision

The Step Back Shuffle Problem In The Origin Of Life

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

“Let Us Kill! Let Us Kill!” The Left Chants As Justice Alito Smiles On

The Disinformation Governance Board Was Conceived After The 2016 Meme Wars: It Was Formed To Stop Trump 2.0: Here’s How It Will Work

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification