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William M. Briggs

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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Posted by By Briggs April 16, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Posted by By Briggs April 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter
Posted inStatistics

Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter

I want you to memorize something important. Never forget it. Ready? Artificial "intelligence", or AI, is just statistical modeling. (Regular readers already knew this.) Here's something else to know. Some…
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Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Posted inPhilosophy

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…
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Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science
Posted inCulture

Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science

There is no "racism", systemic or otherwise, against blacks in science. But you are supposed to say there is, and decry it. Indeed, the less actual racism there is, the…
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The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos
Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos

The Broken Science Initiative, to which I have been invited, has at last been launched at a recent get together in California. Greg Glassman introduces the topic. You will recognize…
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Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works
Posted inCulture

Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works

There is still considerable confusion about our present form of government, which is a form of the managerial society predicted by Burnham, and outlined in intricate detail by Sam Francis.…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection

Previous post. Our good saint believes no eating and no procreating after the resurrection. This is a very long one. THAT AMONG THE RISEN THERE WILL BE NO USE OF…
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Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder
Posted inCulture

Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder

You have a pool of, say, 500 professionally trained specialty chemists---which is to say, chemists who specialize in a certain branch of chemistry that has suddenly gained popularity. I'm making…
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CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned:  Kids & The Coronadoom Vex
Posted inCulture Statistics

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

Update Well, they voted the wrong way. I'm also a bit surprised there doesn't seem much interest in this news. How quickly we surrender? Rochelle Walensky, the head of CDC,…
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  1. John Pate on Contest Winner Announced!April 17, 2026

    The Austrian Painter is too milquetoast for me. I'm holding out for Vlad the Impaler.

  2. John Pate on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 17, 2026

    What is this rambling word salad. Grok could do better. Anyway, ZionDon is just doing his bit for the Great…

  3. Norbert on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 17, 2026

    Certain statements in the blogpost are perhaps careless and may lead to non-Catholic thinking. For reference, the following is the…

  4. Alain Petit on Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine, ReviewedApril 16, 2026

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbmoVdirxw&pp=0gcJCdMKAYcqIYzv

  5. Klara Castagna on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 16, 2026

    Ianto, I luv ya man, I bought and read your book ‘The Barbarian Bible’ - everyone should buy it and…

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