William M. Briggs

The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example

You will, I hope, forgive me if I remind you that if there is Official mis- or disinformation, then there must necessarily be Official Truths. And if there exist Official…

Culture Statistics

The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists

This article began as a series beginning 3 January 2009. I thought it well to revisit it as an example of how to investigate controversial Science. Clever readers will notice…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Necessity Of Penance

Previous post. The costs of mistakes must be covered. ON THE NECESSITY OF PENANCE AND OF ITS PARTS 1 From this, then, it is evident that if a man sins…

Culture

An Exception To American Exceptionalism — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

When Russia took back Crimea in 2014, Vladimir Putin evidently decided he could not avoid war. So, he made ready. He then publicly played possum for eight years. But in…

Statistics

How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?

Many scientists have taken up sounding silly lately. On purpose. I don't here mean denying sex, where many have made perfect asses of themselves. I mean on "carbon". They say…

Statistics

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…

Statistics

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…

Statistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…

tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026
Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.
John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026
I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…
Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
"their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…
Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…
gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026
Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

William M. Briggs

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example

The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Necessity Of Penance

An Exception To American Exceptionalism — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification