William M. Briggs

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…

Culture

Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis

The obvious first stage in disease identification is noticing symptoms and their extent. This, for the United States, Michael Anton does with acumen and aplomb, in his New Criterion essay…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man

Previous post. A (blessedly?) short week. THAT THE ASSUMPTION OF HUMAN NATURE WAS MOST SUITED TO THE WORD OF GOD 1 From this it is also clear that the assumption…

Culture

Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews

The commanding officer in any military unit is the number one factor in crew morale and success of the mission. He is more important than anything else by an order…

Culture

Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice

A plea from Anon: The wife and I starting going through (in-person) RCIA classes at a local Roman Catholic parish when they started in the fall. I’m struggling with some…

Book review Culture

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…

Statistics

VAERS Shows J&J Vaxed Dying Much Earlier; Pfizer Likely Causing More Life Threatening Injuries In Young

The results are below. At top, I answer the silliest objections. OBJECTIONS "Briggs, you can't use VAERS for diagnosing Covid vax injury." That so? "It is so. VAERS is entirely…

Culture Statistics

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

This is update CIX. Let's summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: "Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus". Taleb almost at…

hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025
I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…
hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025
> It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…
Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…
JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025
How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

William M. Briggs

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?

Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis

Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man

Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews

Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

VAERS Shows J&J Vaxed Dying Much Earlier; Pfizer Likely Causing More Life Threatening Injuries In Young

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification