William M. Briggs

How Saying “Food Production Battered By Climate Change” Illustrates The Corruption Of The American Regime

In an interview with Ed Luttwak, who is always worth listening to, he being one of those rare souls that crop up in history who seem to know everybody important,…

Statistics

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…

Statistics

O No! “Racist” AI!: The Ethics of AI?

There is a form of AI---AI is an acronym from the German meaning statistical modeling---that isn't AI per se, but which is important, even crucial, but not of direct interest…

Statistics

The Horrible Predictions Of Climate Change

Here are some horrible predictions of climate change, first from Newsweek, then from Time magazine. Most of this will be familiar, indeed quotes like these are our daily fare, but…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Yet More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Previous post. I obviously scheduled the date for this post wrong. It ran a day late. The third set of errors about the Eucharist are fixed up this week. SOLUTION…

Statistics

Vexxing 1-4 Year Olds & The Impenetrable Mystery Of The Young Suddenly And Unexpectedly Dying

Here's the wonderful Daily Mail headline: "Healthy young people are dying suddenly and unexpectedly from a mysterious syndrome - as doctors seek answers through a new national register". Even better…

Statistics

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

An article in Psychology Today, a deeply earnest and condemnatory article on disinformation and the brave efforts to "fight" it using "prebunking", contains the following sentence: "Every day around 9…

Philosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…

Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…
Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026
Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…
Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…
Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…
Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026
I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

William M. Briggs

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing

The Equality Paradox

My Horrible Interaction With AI

SOON

The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Happy Birthday to US

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!

The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove

Marbles!

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Truly Random Numbers Found?

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

How Saying “Food Production Battered By Climate Change” Illustrates The Corruption Of The American Regime

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

O No! “Racist” AI!: The Ethics of AI?

The Horrible Predictions Of Climate Change

Summary Against Modern Thought: Yet More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Vexxing 1-4 Year Olds & The Impenetrable Mystery Of The Young Suddenly And Unexpectedly Dying

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification