William M. Briggs

Why You Shouldn’t Trust Epidemiologists: Natural Gas & Elderly Deaths Edition

I'm always on about Experts, which are credentialed trained individuals who support the regime, so I thought it well to show Experts in action. One way is through the use…

Book review

Yuval Harari’s Homo Deus: Marketing The Materialist World View — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Reading your typical book is like sitting on the grandstand of a racetrack. You see the race cars whizzing by, and you sort of feel the excitement of the race,…

Statistics

Let’s Look At All Cause Deaths Again

It's been a while since we looked at all-cause deaths (some of this is for the new readers). This is the one statistic that can't be cooked or juiced; or…

Culture

Take This Fun Political Quiz Inspired By Canadian Truckers

QUIZ Test your knowledge of politics and political theory with this Fun Quiz! 1. Name the form of government in which it is illegal to criticize the regime. 2. Define…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Christ Was Not The Holy Ghost’s Human Son

Previous post. Combining two weeks into one, the lessons being so short. THAT CHRIST WAS NOT THE SON OF THE HOLY SPIRIT IN THE FLESH 1 Now, although Christ is…

Culture

Experts—Trust Them!—Discover Coronadoom Misinformation Causes Depressive Symptoms

Gettin' bad out there, friends. Lot of people poppin' happy pills. Pills, that is, designed by Experts to make them happy. Or what Experts say passes for happy. Pills that,…

Philosophy Statistics

Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation

Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…

Book review

Celebrity Scientist Neil deGrasse Tyson Speaks — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

This excerpt comes in Chapter 20, Science. First comes the Science Is Self-Correcting Fallacy, followed by the My Grant Was Funded Therefore My Theory Is True Fallacy, which is a…

Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026
The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…
C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026
Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…
NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026
People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…
Johnno on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026
Briggs, have you tried ONE PIECE ?
Eyrie on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026
Yep, finding the same thing. Unfortunately many of the good authors have died. We lost Michael F Flynn a couple…

William M. Briggs

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question