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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Posted by By Briggs May 21, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!

Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
Read More
Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On
Posted inStatistics

Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On

I want to remind you that our side, except for niggling details, and except for the odd conspiracy theory or two we're still waiting to have verified, has been right…
Read More
Diversity Oaths In Physics Grants Becoming More Common
Posted inCulture

Diversity Oaths In Physics Grants Becoming More Common

When I was at Cornell, I attended a lecture by Alan Guth on inflation. This is the theory that in the early universe gravity was repulsive before it became attractive.…
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Solutions & Lessons From The Trudeau Tyranny: What The Truckers Can Do, And What We Must
Posted inCulture

Solutions & Lessons From The Trudeau Tyranny: What The Truckers Can Do, And What We Must

Question: where are all the Experts shouting about why Canada needs to keep its lockdowns to save lives? Answer: THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Only a dedicated television watcher or…
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Great News: Army Will Now Allow Men To Wear Lipstick, Nail Polish
Posted inCulture

Great News: Army Will Now Allow Men To Wear Lipstick, Nail Polish

The day we have all been waiting for has finally arrived. The famed United States Army will allow men to wear lipstick and nail polish. But only if they also…
Read More
Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper
Posted inStatistics

Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper

Now I ask you: If you have a computer and want to do a simulation, you must write the code for it. Yes? It doesn't matter what form this code…
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Physicists Trying To Show God Not Necessary Prove God Is Necessary
Posted inPhilosophy

Physicists Trying To Show God Not Necessary Prove God Is Necessary

There must be a reason that 2i + 2i = 4i, an unobservable number, as all numbers are, but as is most obvious in numbers like i = sqrt(-1). There…
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Canada Becomes A Dictatorship; Elsewhere, Freedom Seeps In; Weekly All Cause Deaths for US & England
Posted inStatistics

Canada Becomes A Dictatorship; Elsewhere, Freedom Seeps In; Weekly All Cause Deaths for US & England

How much credit, he asked rhetorically, will our side receive for being right about everything? The numbers are below the story. Last week, inspectors noticed certain instabilities and micro-fissures in…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

  3. Steve on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    Briggs, you fool! You should know by now that extraterrestrials have image blurring technology. And before you ask, yes, they…

  4. McChuck on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    "Tomorrow Tomorrow never comes What kind of a fool Do they take me for? Tomorrow A resting place for bums…

  5. Philip Rogan on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    All I can say after reading the linked article is that I'm glad I'm not a professional academic philosopher.

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