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Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
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What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
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What A Winter
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FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
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Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
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Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
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Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
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The Consent Fallacy
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Register Your Predictions For 2026!
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Happy New Year!
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Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
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Posted inStatistics

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Posted by By Briggs January 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Posted by By Briggs January 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity IX
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity IX

Previous post. There are about five or six more chapters on the Holy Ghost until we get to the filioque. And won't that be fun. THAT THE HOLY SPIRIT IS…
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On Having Jewishness—“There Is No Permanent Cure”, Says Scholar
Posted inFun

On Having Jewishness—“There Is No Permanent Cure”, Says Scholar

This, apparently, is the first draft of Donald Moss's peer-reviewed paper "On Having Jewishness", the final eventually appearing in the Journal of the American Psychoanalytic Association. The original Abstract in…
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Troy 2.0 — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Troy 2.0 — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The question has fairly arisen: do I still stand by my prediction(s) made in my book, The Barbarian Bible. The answer, of course, is 'Yes'. Double yes, to be exact.…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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Fabulous Fauci Falters; Vexxine Causes Most Harm In Those Least Needing It; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIV
Posted inStatistics

Fabulous Fauci Falters; Vexxine Causes Most Harm In Those Least Needing It; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIV

FABULOUS FAUCI FALTERS This is one on many threads concerning The Fauci Emails, which sounds like a tacky late-80s cold-war thriller. https://twitter.com/GraduatedBen/status/1399939387924811780 It's all there (complete link?): masks don't work,…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity VIII
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity VIII

Previous post. Stick with it! We only have a couple of more chapters on the Trinity. THAT THE HOLY SPIRIT IS TRUE GOD 1 One shows, of course, by clear…
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The First Cause is a Trinity: No More, No Less — Guest Post by Oldavid
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

The First Cause is a Trinity: No More, No Less — Guest Post by Oldavid

The purpose of this essay is to provide a very simple “lowbrow” refutation of Modernism's “neo- pantheism” using concepts intelligible to even the most unsophisticated pragmatic and sane mind. The…
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  1. Robert Berger on Physics & Vertical Causation: The End of Quantum Reality by Wolfgang Smith ReviewedFebruary 1, 2026

    Thel Physics comments miss the entire metaphysical point ! (for the most part) We are now getting back to essence.…

  2. Robert Berger on Wolfgang Smith’s Vision Of Oneness — Guest Post by Ianto WattFebruary 1, 2026

    Whatever failures there are in the human writings and thought of Wolfgang Smith, he is the best mind on Physics…

  3. Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026

    Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…

  4. Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026

    Brilliant. Thank you.

  5. spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026

    You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…

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