William M. Briggs

Talk About Pseudo-Religious Faith In Models Delayed — Blog Update

WARNING! The summit mentioned next has been shifted to one week from Friday (yesterday). Gist: the host tried to cancel it after it started on Friday. TRUTH OVER FEAR SUMMIT…

Statistics

Official Diet Recommendations & Obesity — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

This is excerpted from Hormone Secrets by Robert Yoho, MD, pending publication. This chapter is the background for the next one about the use of thyroid and other medications to…

Statistics

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

UNCERTAINTY REQUIREMENTS If you say a calamity will befall me, and ask me to pay to protect against it, the burden is on you to (a) prove the calamity is…

Culture

How Will The Killing Begin?

What follows is a big suppose. Just that: a suppose. So don't get too worked up. Suppose in the once United States, the left spirals out of control, as it…

Statistics

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Look for new plots in the update below. A RARE SIGHTING I will join this robust list of malcontents, lunatics, deniers, outcasts and iconoclasts in my speech, "Fools! I will…

Statistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II

Previous post. Chapter 11 is too much to do in one go. I'm splitting it up in two parts. HOW GENERATION IS TO BE UNDERSTOOD IN DIVINITY, AND WHAT IS…

Culture

Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling

Saturdays are good days to think about subscribing. Recall you host is wholly independent (as if any would have him!). So the oligarchs had Biden mask up and meet our…

Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026
Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…
Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026
Brilliant. Thank you.
spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026
You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…
spetzer86 on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Over 60, used to listen to AM all the time as a kid. Mostly WHO and other Des Moines stations.…
Steve on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Yep. Flyover, so during the daytime, there was only local dreck, but nighttime, KFYR (Bismark), KOMA (Oklahoma City), WLW (Cinncinnati,…

William M. Briggs

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Talk About Pseudo-Religious Faith In Models Delayed — Blog Update

Official Diet Recommendations & Obesity — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

How Will The Killing Begin?

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II

Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification