Posted inStatistics
Yes Like The Flu, Yes Like Car Crashes, Yes Like…
First Section updated For Sorry Ari Fans Many have asked me to comment on The New Atlantis article "Not Like the Flu, Not Like Car Crashes, Not Like..." by Ari…
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT
Summary Against Modern Thought: Not All Sex Is Sinful
Previous post. Puritanism is not a viable option. THAT NOT ALL SEXUAL INTERCOURSE IS SINFUL 1 Now, just as it is contrary to reason for a man to perform the…
Posted inStatistics
The Week In Doom: There Will Be Priestesses Edition
We are weeks behind in Doom. Doom other than the virus, that is. Here's a small attempt to catch up. Item Taylor Marshall reports "Yes, so Bishops are officially 'commissioning…
Posted inStatistics
The Tyranny Of Models
From reader Alistair Haimes comes this note about the Imperial College model, a note which will illustrate the tyranny of models. So, the errors in the Imperial College covid-19 model.…
Posted inStatistics
Everybody Now Dies Of Coronavirus
You will have already seen the headline: N.Y.C. Death Toll Soars Past 10,000 in Revised Virus Count. The city has added more than 3,700 additional people who were presumed to…
Posted inStatistics
Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?
Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team colleagues scared the world silly in mid-March. They announced they ran a sophisticated epidemiological model which said Doom was on the…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
Posted inCulture
Resist Corona Tyranny!
World War II buffs will recall the story where General Patton, about the launch a counter-offensive in the Battle of the Bulge, was called into Eisenhower's office. With Ike was…
