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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”
Posted inStatistics

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

UNCERTAINTY REQUIREMENTS If you say a calamity will befall me, and ask me to pay to protect against it, the burden is on you to (a) prove the calamity is…
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How Will The Killing Begin?
Posted inCulture

How Will The Killing Begin?

What follows is a big suppose. Just that: a suppose. So don't get too worked up. Suppose in the once United States, the left spirals out of control, as it…
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Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII
Posted inStatistics

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Look for new plots in the update below. A RARE SIGHTING I will join this robust list of malcontents, lunatics, deniers, outcasts and iconoclasts in my speech, "Fools! I will…
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Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II

Previous post. Chapter 11 is too much to do in one go. I'm splitting it up in two parts. HOW GENERATION IS TO BE UNDERSTOOD IN DIVINITY, AND WHAT IS…
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Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling
Posted inCulture

Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling

Saturdays are good days to think about subscribing. Recall you host is wholly independent (as if any would have him!). So the oligarchs had Biden mask up and meet our…
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Lying About Structural Racism In Medicine
Posted inCulture

Lying About Structural Racism In Medicine

We are used to our elites and rulers lying to us these days. Nobody, even partisans, expects what they hear from on high is the truth. Partisans don't mind the…
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The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report
Posted inStatistics

The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report

We haven't finished with the coroandoom panic, not yet. The leeches ("reporters") are still running around screaming about "raging surges", "surging rages", "variants", "breaking points", and so on and so…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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