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William M. Briggs

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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Posted by By Briggs April 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Posted by By Briggs April 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: The Origin of Hope
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Origin of Hope

Previous post. It's been a few weeks, so please go back and review the previous post, knowledge of which is required here. THAT DIVINE GRACE CAUSES HOPE IN US 1…
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Illegal Voting By The Numbers
Posted inCulture Statistics

Illegal Voting By The Numbers

This post originally ran 31 January 2017. Voter fraud is an old, old story. Old posts do NOT re-email to followers. How many votes in the past presidential election were…
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Officials Demand Mandatory Coronavirus Vaccination, Else Thou Shalt Not Eat
Posted inStatistics

Officials Demand Mandatory Coronavirus Vaccination, Else Thou Shalt Not Eat

There's only so many times you can make the Mark of the Beast joke before it ceases being funny. May I beg that if I let someone else tell it…
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One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool
Posted inStatistics

One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool

Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections…
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Voter Fraud Is — Rare — Common — Impossible — Russia! Russia! Russia! — A Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

Voter Fraud Is — Rare — Common — Impossible — Russia! Russia! Russia! — A Conspiracy Theory

I'm working on more analysis which will appear soon. The media can't make up its mind. Not about Trump, whom they loathe because the man called them out for what…
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Do Not Buy The Manufactured Second-Wave Panic: Coronavirus Update XXXIX
Posted inStatistics

Do Not Buy The Manufactured Second-Wave Panic: Coronavirus Update XXXIX

THE WARNING The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe It is with no pleasure that I announce we told you so. The…
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More Anomalies In Late Vote Additions In Pennsylvania
Posted inStatistics

More Anomalies In Late Vote Additions In Pennsylvania

Thanks to all the people who responded to yesterday's post. It's been a busy few days, and getting busier, so I'll be slow in answering emails and requests. It's been…
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Two Statistical Curiosities That Allowed Biden To Pull Ahead In PA: ONE CURIOSITY SOLVED: BAD DATA ENTRY
Posted inStatistics

Two Statistical Curiosities That Allowed Biden To Pull Ahead In PA: ONE CURIOSITY SOLVED: BAD DATA ENTRY

Important update 11 November 8:45 PM The missing votes appear to have been a data input error. The totals at the end of the early data I was given were…
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  1. John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026

    Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…

  2. C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    @Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…

  4. John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

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