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Latest Articles
Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics
May 6, 2025
AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie
May 5, 2025
Class 48: What Is A Model?
May 1, 2025
I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability
April 30, 2025
Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
April 29, 2025
The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!
April 28, 2025
Class 47: Billions Of Models!
April 24, 2025
A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed
April 22, 2025
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
April 21, 2025
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
April 17, 2025
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
April 16, 2025
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
April 15, 2025
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
April 14, 2025
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
April 10, 2025
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
April 9, 2025
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
April 8, 2025
Power Restored, Posts To Resume
April 7, 2025
No posts, class. No power, no internet
April 1, 2025
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
March 31, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Posted by By Briggs May 8, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs May 7, 2025
Continue Reading
Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
Posted inClass Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone

Previous post. A good reminder "cult" has changed in meaning over time. Latria = highest kind of worship. Why we worship God is in #5 below. THAT THE CULT PROPER…
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The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition

Item Let's Call It Trumpvirus: If you're feeling awful, you know who to blame (New York Times op ed) Yeah, when you think of Mike Pence you maybe don't think…
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Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Mentita est iniquita sibi... Iniquity, as always, lies to itself. And then to everyone else. Eastern Orthodoxy is no exception. Because it is a deception, masquerading as a belief. As…
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Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail
Posted inCulture

Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail

Conservatism, as we have long discussed, is dead. Though perhaps it doesn't seem that way, because its corpse is seen ambling about with a caring look on its decomposing face.…
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Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested
Posted inCulture

Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested

Rod Dreher (I know, I know) had an article in which he explains his forbidden love with Moldbug, concluding "A couple of things he said made me realize that his…
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Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
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  1. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  4. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  5. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

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