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Latest Articles
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
December 29, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Posted by By Briggs February 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Posted by By Briggs February 3, 2026
Continue Reading
New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing

Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Eternity Lasts A Long Time
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Eternity Lasts A Long Time

Previous post. You MUST review. It's been a few weeks since our break, and doubtless your memory is sketchy about where we are and how we got here. THAT THOSE…
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The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition

Item They're tightening the vise. As predicted, they're coming for your money. As one tweet down in the thread says (my emphasis): '"EU needs #digital single market. #Regulation should be…
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The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…
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A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
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How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?
Posted inFun

How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?

How'd we do? Let me put it this way: the Magic 8 Ball is in no danger of losing its position as top soothsayer. We were game, but overall there…
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Register Your Predictions For 2019!
Posted inFun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…
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The Probability Of Your Existence
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…
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  1. spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026

    I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    While we're on the subject of "Ursus Maritimus"; In 1987, a group of amusement denied boys decided to make an…

  5. hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    > But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…

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