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William M. Briggs

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Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
France’s Confusing New Law Criminalizing Criticizing The Science
Posted inCulture

France’s Confusing New Law Criminalizing Criticizing The Science

My knowledge of French law rivals that of Fifteenth Century Congolese poetry. So I know I am on risky ground commenting on a newly passed law that many are saying,…
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New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis
Posted inStatistics

New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis

There's been an update on the New Zealand vax data. The government ponied up some official numbers. Some are excited about this. Alas, like the previous leaked data, I don't…
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Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?
Posted inStatistics

Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?

I will lose many of you today. But for those up for an intellectual challenge, this post is for you. This will not be easy. Let's play a game. I'm…
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Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists
Posted inCulture

Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists

The second sentence of the abstract of a new paper about trust in scientists, which is generally high but in some places low, provides the very reason for distrust: "Public…
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David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World
Posted inPhilosophy

David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World

You can read the whole story at Jim Franklin's place of how the late and lamented David Stove held a contest for the Worst Argument In The World. In [Stove's]…
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Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault
Posted inStatistics

Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault

Here's the propaganda headline: "Black women six times more likely to be killed than white women: Report". "Doesn't seem like propaganda to me, Briggs. I'd bet that number is true."…
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CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers
Posted inCulture

CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers

Yes, you read the headline right. Here's how it came about. Earlier this year a "Diaper Spa" opened its doors in Atkinson, New Hampshire. (Click the link if you think…
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The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?
Posted inCulture

The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?

This is a post written in haste, and I welcome, more than usual, your take on the events of the day, since I surely missed a lot. So Tucker Carlson…
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  1. Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026

    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

  2. gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026

    Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)

  3. Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…

  4. spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…

  5. C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026

    Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie

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