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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
Why This Weird Fetish Over Blacks?
Posted inCulture

Why This Weird Fetish Over Blacks?

Britain announced that the Fourth Plinth in Trafalgar Square will be graced with this sculpture: It is, according to one story, a "bronze and blue homage to a metropolitan woman…
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Does Quantum Mechanics Speak To Theology? — Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Posted inPhilosophy

Does Quantum Mechanics Speak To Theology? — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

“I think I can safely say that nobody understands quantum mechanics.” Richard Feynman, Nobel Prize winner for his research on quantum electrodynamics INTRODUCTION Seventy years ago when I first heard…
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AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies
Posted inStatistics

AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies

In Asimov's original Foundation, a novel set amidst a fading and decaying Empire, one saturated in hubris and self-esteem, we meet Lord Dorwin, a celebrated scholar from the Galactic Empire,…
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Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report
Posted inStatistics

Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report

There was another Broken Science event this past weekend in the Phoenix area. Yours Truly was there. I gather the videos will be on line at some point, at the…
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Only A Bare Majority Of Scientists Believe In Sexual Reproduction
Posted inCulture

Only A Bare Majority Of Scientists Believe In Sexual Reproduction

So the Brit paper The Telegraph had the idea of polling 200 scientists at British universities and asking whether or not they were science deniers. Sit down, dear reader. I…
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Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge

From Mars, John Carter reports in a wonderful essay discussing the Regime's attempts at manipulation says this: People don’t like being gaslit. The psychological techniques used by salesmen, con men,…
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Euro-Chemophobia And The Liquidation Of Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

Euro-Chemophobia And The Liquidation Of Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Introduction The European Commision came up with another grand plan titled Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on the sustainable use of plant protection products…
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What Parts Of Reality Does Science Describe, And Which Parts Are Merely Constructs?
Posted inPhilosophy

What Parts Of Reality Does Science Describe, And Which Parts Are Merely Constructs?

A rose would not smell as sweet if it was called, as it likely is called in German, a sourbloodpetal. Or whatever. Naming things, getting the good names for things,…
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  1. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  2. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  3. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

  4. _Jim on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    One gains a better understanding of the underpinnings of the grist (the extensions to the 'maths') behind QM (Quantum Mechanics)…

  5. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

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