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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Posted inStatistics

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Posted by By Briggs June 3, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Posted by By Briggs June 1, 2026
Continue Reading
New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis
Posted inStatistics

New Zealand Forced To Release New Vax Data: Here’s The Analysis

There's been an update on the New Zealand vax data. The government ponied up some official numbers. Some are excited about this. Alas, like the previous leaked data, I don't…
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Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?
Posted inStatistics

Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?

I will lose many of you today. But for those up for an intellectual challenge, this post is for you. This will not be easy. Let's play a game. I'm…
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Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists
Posted inCulture

Academics Blame Lower Trust In Scientists On Everything But Bad Scientists

The second sentence of the abstract of a new paper about trust in scientists, which is generally high but in some places low, provides the very reason for distrust: "Public…
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David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World
Posted inPhilosophy

David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World

You can read the whole story at Jim Franklin's place of how the late and lamented David Stove held a contest for the Worst Argument In The World. In [Stove's]…
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Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault
Posted inStatistics

Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault

Here's the propaganda headline: "Black women six times more likely to be killed than white women: Report". "Doesn't seem like propaganda to me, Briggs. I'd bet that number is true."…
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CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers
Posted inCulture

CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers

Yes, you read the headline right. Here's how it came about. Earlier this year a "Diaper Spa" opened its doors in Atkinson, New Hampshire. (Click the link if you think…
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The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?
Posted inCulture

The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?

This is a post written in haste, and I welcome, more than usual, your take on the events of the day, since I surely missed a lot. So Tucker Carlson…
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The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified
Posted inCulture

The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified

We've discussed the Expansion Team Effect many times. I'm always embarrassed to do so because it's so simple it's a truism. What's weird about it is that, presented one way,…
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  1. Stephen Frick on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you. This has so many valuable observations.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 2, 2026

    Those humanitarian champions of euthanasia are always champing at the bit, to spring into action, every time someone complains of…

  3. Jess on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 2, 2026

    Locally, a pit-bull was euthanized for killing a child. That's my metric. If they have at least the IQ of…

  4. Joe Jach on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayJune 2, 2026

    Mr Briggs, a belated and happy Memorial day! May our Gracious Lord guide you in all wisdom in your writings,…

  5. Cary Cotterman on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 1, 2026

    Fry 'em all, let God sort 'em out.

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