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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Truly Random Numbers Found?

Posted by By Briggs June 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World
Posted inPhilosophy

David Deutsch Rediscovers The Worst Argument In The World

You can read the whole story at Jim Franklin's place of how the late and lamented David Stove held a contest for the Worst Argument In The World. In [Stove's]…
Read More
Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault
Posted inStatistics

Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault

Here's the propaganda headline: "Black women six times more likely to be killed than white women: Report". "Doesn't seem like propaganda to me, Briggs. I'd bet that number is true."…
Read More
CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers
Posted inCulture

CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers

Yes, you read the headline right. Here's how it came about. Earlier this year a "Diaper Spa" opened its doors in Atkinson, New Hampshire. (Click the link if you think…
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The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?
Posted inCulture

The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?

This is a post written in haste, and I welcome, more than usual, your take on the events of the day, since I surely missed a lot. So Tucker Carlson…
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The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified
Posted inCulture

The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified

We've discussed the Expansion Team Effect many times. I'm always embarrassed to do so because it's so simple it's a truism. What's weird about it is that, presented one way,…
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How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…
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Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”

I looked up one Lasse S. Stoetzer. Soy-faced economics degree holder. Sketchy beard. Keeps Funko-Pop-like toys on his bookshelf. He looks like a living meme. I also looked up a…
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Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I

Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    Wait...Does this mean that all those non-winning lottery tickets, I've bought over the years, were drawn from non-randomly-generated numbers? I…

  2. McChuck on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    What QM leaves out of their "randomness is fundamental" picture is the state of the entire rest of the universe.…

  3. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 15, 2026

    LarryG, I appreciate that sport and game participants can enjoy their favorite activity but that doesn't make the activity entertaining.

  4. JR Ewing on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026

    I'm not a fan of airport security pantomime. There are a lot of things about it that I don't like,…

  5. LarryG on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 14, 2026

    The provincial and parochial attitude of Americans towards soccer perplexes me. It’s a great sport. High school: football, sat on…

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