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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Posted by By Briggs April 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Posted by By Briggs April 22, 2026
Continue Reading
The Politics Of Prudence by Russel Kirk Reissued — And Reviewed
Posted inBook review

The Politics Of Prudence by Russel Kirk Reissued — And Reviewed

There have been many purges on the right, led for instance by National Review and William F Buckley, removing from polite society those who were considered "extreme" elements. People who…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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Russia’s View Of Itself In The World: Sobornost — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Russia’s View Of Itself In The World: Sobornost — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

A very close friend asked me a question. He read some blog article about Russia and the Consecration, and the part that Vladimir Solovyov played in this saga. My friend…
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The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Regime’s New De Facto “AI” Law And The End Of Pattern Recognition

News is that Regime put out a new law, bypassing Congress as usual, in the form of an "executive order", about "AI". The new law's title is "Safe, Secure, and…
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What Scientists Know That Ain’t So
Posted inCulture

What Scientists Know That Ain’t So

"It's not what we don't know that prevents us from succeeding; it's what we know that just ain't so that is our greatest obstacle." I've seen versions of that quote…
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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak
Posted inCulture

Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak

It's too bad we didn't accept the woke's offer to defund the police. They never thought their slogan through, and we should have closed with them before they had the…
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Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

My favorite headline of late is from Stat, which I'll reveal in a brief moment. First, as I was discovering that headline, I saw the site's top crawl, which asked…
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  1. John Pate on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 23, 2026

    Ovarian Logic has no relationship to, and is not amenable to, formal logic or considerations of causality and empirical observation.…

  2. C-Marie on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Well, skin colour is given by God to each of us. And, Jesus Christ is the only Saviour. Let us…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    @Cary I'm not sure what a "Martian giant" is... Elon Musk? I tried Google but all I found was a…

  4. John M on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Liberalism Is a Mental Disorder by Michael Savage, ISBN 1-59555-006-2

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    You speak wisdom, Martian giant.

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