William M. Briggs

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific…

Culture

John Kerry To Peasants: Die, To Save The Planet

It doesn't seem to make much difference whether a man inherits his money or earns it. Once he reaches a certain threshold of the green stuff, there's a good chance…

Philosophy

Welcome To Pride In The Ability To Masturbate Into The Rectum Of Another Month

What a strange time we live in. Sodomy has always existed, and it is therefore rational to conclude it will always be with us. Every other culture has looked on…

Culture

The Only Way To Avoid Illegal Discrimination Is To Illegally Discriminate

There is nothing holier than a Victim. No person holds a more exalted place in our culture than the Victim. Rules which must be followed by the ordinary are allowed…

Fun

On Ford Restoring & Saving AM Radio

And now, since many are still vacationing, a subject perhaps only three in a hundred care about. AM radio. You might have heard that Ford was going to whack AM…

Fun

Made Glorious Summer By This Sun Of North

For a while, especially given the snow in early May, and frost late in the month, like last night, I thought summer would never come. Which is why my heart…

Culture Statistics

It Will Soon Be Impossible For You Not To Be Sick, Even If You’re Healthy

It's too late for you, doomed reader. You know I love you, but I may have killed you. This makes me sad. Unless you are one of my despised enemies.…

Statistics

Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed

This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all…

shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025
all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think
Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025
Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…
Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025
Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…
Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025
Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…
Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025
I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

William M. Briggs

Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their Pillows

Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data

Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For Victims

Little Nate’s Plan To Save The World

Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education Causes Mass Squealing

Stay The Course: Have Some Class

Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers

UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!

Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970s

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

The Triumph Of The Feminine

At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Class 69: Why Parameters Don’t Exist

Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living Forever

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research