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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men
Posted inPhilosophy

Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men

To read today's article, it is helpful to recall that in the context of biology and medicine the prefix trans can always be translated by not a or just not.…
Read More
Apple Threatens World Destruction! “It is our aim to permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere”
Posted inFun

Apple Threatens World Destruction! “It is our aim to permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere”

I was asked to look at this video promoted by the slob---no, really: he's a slob; not that it's his worst sin---who runs Apple. Unfortunately, some of you will have…
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Truths Labeled Medical Misinformation, Falsities Called Official Truths
Posted inCulture

Truths Labeled Medical Misinformation, Falsities Called Official Truths

Gruesome Gavin Newsom signed a bill in 2022 that allowed him to snatch the medical license from any doctor that disagreed with his Official Truths of coronadoom. I say "his"…
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Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence
Posted inStatistics

Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence

There is no typo in the title. We are discussing The Science, and not science. Science-sans-article is chugging along, doing okay there, and poorly there, the whole decaying for all…
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The Great Grand Bluff Of Science
Posted inPhilosophy

The Great Grand Bluff Of Science

Everybody knows the story of the turtles. The earth is held up by four large elephants, some say, which stand on the shell of an enormous turtle. When asked what…
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Experts: Take The Children, Make Them Gay, The Parents Should Not, Have A Say
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Take The Children, Make Them Gay, The Parents Should Not, Have A Say

So there's this pervert high school tennis coach in Gettysburg, a man named Yates, who enjoys going into the girl's locker room and watching them undress and shower. Some of…
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Women In Science Expose Their Climate Grief
Posted inCulture

Women In Science Expose Their Climate Grief

I stupidly sent out two posts yesterday. Those who received the second won’t get it again today. Apologies. Egalitarians: There ought to be more women in science. Women in science:…
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Proof That Scientists Are Model Blind Discovered In Claim One Billion Will Die From “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Proof That Scientists Are Model Blind Discovered In Claim One Billion Will Die From “Climate Change”

I stupidly sent out two posts today. Those who received the second won't get it again tomorrow. Apologies. Headline: "Scientists Warn 1 Billion People on Track to Die From Climate…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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