William M. Briggs

Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Leighton Smith of New Zealand kindly had me on his podcast Wednesday. We discussed, among other matters, my book Everything You Believe Is Wrong. You know, the one my enemies…

Philosophy

Wait! Don’t Hit The Off Switch! You’ll Cause An AI Holocaust!

So there's this thing called lightning. Fire from the sky. Nobody knows why or how it happens, but every now and then...whizzz-cushhcracccck-boom! Fire from the gods explodes from the clouds!…

Statistics

Researchers Who Accept Regime Funding Should Disclose Their Conflict Of Interest

Shocking report in science money news came out last week. Seems "Six fossil fuel companies funneled more than $700m in research funding to 27 universities in the US from 2010…

Statistics

“Excess” Deaths, Vaccines, Iatrogenic & Other Causes Of Death

This took a long time to get to, because we were waiting, patiently, for the CDC to count deaths. They are always eight to sixteen weeks behind. This is of…

Statistics

Release The Variant! — Rulers Used Disinformation To Frighten You Into Complying With Failed Harmful “Solutions”

It has been, these last few weeks, a long string of one coronadoom "conspiracy theory" after another being confirmed as true. Update: note the date of the tweet: https://twitter.com/KonstantinKisin/status/1393201938724884481 Before…

Statistics

How To Guarantee There Will Be A Perpetual “Climate Emergency”

How to guarantee there will be a perpetual "climate emergency": Appoint a Minister of Climate Change. https://twitter.com/jamespeshaw/status/1631178382833770496 This Shaw is "Minister of Climate Change, Associate Minister for the Environment (Biodiversity)"…

Culture

Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act

SCENE: A PRESTIGIOUS UNIVERSITY DRAMATIS PERSONAE: TWO AGING PRESTIGIOUS ACADEMICS "Hey, dude, we're, like scientists. Maybe we should, like, do some research." "Yeah, man. Do research." "Do research. We definitely…

Philosophy

Super Truth-Seeing Mutant Beings Walk Among Us!

You've not been able to miss the Marvel universe, I'm betting, even if, like regular readers, you don't go to the movies. The characters are nevertheless everywhere, as is the…

tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026
Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.
John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026
I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…
Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
"their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…
Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…
gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026
Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

William M. Briggs

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Wait! Don’t Hit The Off Switch! You’ll Cause An AI Holocaust!

Researchers Who Accept Regime Funding Should Disclose Their Conflict Of Interest

“Excess” Deaths, Vaccines, Iatrogenic & Other Causes Of Death

Release The Variant! — Rulers Used Disinformation To Frighten You Into Complying With Failed Harmful “Solutions”

How To Guarantee There Will Be A Perpetual “Climate Emergency”

Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act

Super Truth-Seeing Mutant Beings Walk Among Us!

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification