William M. Briggs

The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality

Marilyn "vos Savant" scored one major victory in her life. (More than most.) She correctly (copied? noodled?) the correct answer to the Monty Hall problem. Which by itself is only…

Culture

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Last summer a pair of gentlemen came to interview me about the coronadoom. It was to be for the movie The Greatest Reset. Which is now out. (It's free, but…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

Previous post. We walk down the aisle this week. Today's lesson is: get married, have babies. ON THE SACRAMENT OF MATRIMONY 1 Now, we grant that by the sacraments men…

Statistics

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re?…

Culture

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

We met our favorite headline the other day: Climate Change Destroys World, Pregnant People Hardest Hit. A version of that headline rolls off the science press about weekly, now. They…

Culture

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

You're sick. Not doing at all well. You go to a celebrated doctor (God bless you for trusting him) at a major hospital. Guy was recommended by many as knowing…

Culture

Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?

To what extent do you owe loyalty to a once beloved friend, who in his youth was wise and sober and vigorous, but who has now descended into a kind…

Fun

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

This old picture of myself and a fellow outlaw is given as proof of my deep anti-social propensities. A friend of mine, long ago, would sit and listen to George…

NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025
An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.
FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025
[…] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…
Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…
spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…
John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Number seven just took the big sleep.

William M. Briggs

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty

Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification