William M. Briggs

Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter

I want you to memorize something important. Never forget it. Ready? Artificial "intelligence", or AI, is just statistical modeling. (Regular readers already knew this.) Here's something else to know. Some…

Philosophy

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…

Culture

Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science

There is no "racism", systemic or otherwise, against blacks in science. But you are supposed to say there is, and decry it. Indeed, the less actual racism there is, the…

Culture Philosophy

The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos

The Broken Science Initiative, to which I have been invited, has at last been launched at a recent get together in California. Greg Glassman introduces the topic. You will recognize…

Culture

Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works

There is still considerable confusion about our present form of government, which is a form of the managerial society predicted by Burnham, and outlined in intricate detail by Sam Francis.…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection

Previous post. Our good saint believes no eating and no procreating after the resurrection. This is a very long one. THAT AMONG THE RISEN THERE WILL BE NO USE OF…

Culture

Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder

You have a pool of, say, 500 professionally trained specialty chemists---which is to say, chemists who specialize in a certain branch of chemistry that has suddenly gained popularity. I'm making…

Culture Statistics

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

Update Well, they voted the wrong way. I'm also a bit surprised there doesn't seem much interest in this news. How quickly we surrender? Rochelle Walensky, the head of CDC,…

Paul Fischer on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 30, 2026
Great lecture, William. Took a year of time series in grad school...all math, zero discussion of how fragile “trends” really…
Martin on Fatima, Russia & You, Part IV — Guest Post by Ianto WattJanuary 30, 2026
Brilliant. Thank you.
spetzer86 on Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time SeriesJanuary 29, 2026
You also need to consider the amount of trust in the data over time. If you have any reason to…
spetzer86 on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Over 60, used to listen to AM all the time as a kid. Mostly WHO and other Des Moines stations.…
Steve on Who Still Listens To AM Radio?January 29, 2026
Yep. Flyover, so during the daytime, there was only local dreck, but nighttime, KFYR (Bismark), KOMA (Oklahoma City), WLW (Cinncinnati,…

William M. Briggs

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Best Defense When The Not-So-Secret Police Use AI To Claim You Are The Anonymous Tweeter

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science

The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos

Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection

Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification