William M. Briggs

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…

Statistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…

Philosophy

It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Thing that always cracks me up about anti-free will arguments is the contradictions. Too many of those arguments take this shape:…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Damned

Previous post. It's one way---or the other. ON THE QUALITY OF THE RISEN BODIES AMONG THE DAMNED 1 From these points one can, of course, reasonably consider what sort of…

Fun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…

Fun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. In what is now a tradition, we present for Thanksgiving the death prayer of Old Lodge Skins, which comes at the…

Culture

More Standards Brutally Gutted, Left To Bleed Out In Dark Alleys: LSATs Dropped Because Diversity

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. One thing we should know about models by now is that those that make good, skillful predictions should be trusted at…

Statistics

What Limits Do Experts Have? EPA and Carbon Dioxide as “Pollution”

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. There is a fascinating exchange on the principle of Experts Decide All Things vs. what we might call subsidiarity from the…

Lucy Tucker on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
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Cary D Cotterman on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
I have encountered people who believe the lines of water vapor created by hot jet engines passing through cold air…
Cary D Cotterman on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
Nothing in the "Beliefs Scale" about the Sun and Earth just petering out naturally over billions of years, as is…
Brian (bulaoren) on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
Well, at least it isn't cancer!
spetzer86 on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 24, 2026
"Oh Lord, bless this thy hand grenade that it might blow thine enemies into tiny bits by thy mercy"

William M. Briggs

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic