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Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
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The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report
Posted inStatistics

The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report

We haven't finished with the coroandoom panic, not yet. The leeches ("reporters") are still running around screaming about "raging surges", "surging rages", "variants", "breaking points", and so on and so…
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God Catches Cooties From Man; Michigone & Oregone Mull PERMANENT Mask Mandate; More — Coronavirus Update LXII
Posted inStatistics

God Catches Cooties From Man; Michigone & Oregone Mull PERMANENT Mask Mandate; More — Coronavirus Update LXII

VATICAN CATCHES A COLD So the Vatican is holding a health conference, promoting it using an image like the one in Michelangelo's Sistine Chapel, where God gives life to man.…
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Climate Attribution Studies Can’t Be Trusted — New Paper
Posted inStatistics

Climate Attribution Studies Can’t Be Trusted — New Paper

THE SKY HAS FALLEN Benny Peiser at the Global Warming Policy Foundation asked me to investigate so-called climate attribution studies. I did. They don't work. Since that's too brief a…
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Important New Paper: MASKS DO NOT WORK;  CDC Sticking With 6% COVID-Only Deaths; More! —  Coronavirus Update LXI
Posted inStatistics

Important New Paper: MASKS DO NOT WORK; CDC Sticking With 6% COVID-Only Deaths; More! — Coronavirus Update LXI

MASKS DO NOT WORK The paper is Facemasks in the COVID-19 era: A health hypothesis in Medical Hypothesis, by Baruch Vainshelboim. (I am thrilled to say this beats me to…
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Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids
Posted inStatistics

Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids

Lost count of the number of "studies" that feel---not think---that they must invoke terror to justify their undertaking. Take this peer-reviewed gem from Nature Communications by Robbie M. Parks and…
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Two Female Academics Blame Prayer For Women Not Being Men
Posted inStatistics

Two Female Academics Blame Prayer For Women Not Being Men

Two academic women are sure the last barrier to the fall of the patriarchy---and installation of the matriarchy?---is prayer. They said so directly in their peer-reviewed paper "The Hidden Cost…
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One World Government To End All Pandemics; The Canceling Of John Ioannidis; More! — Coronavirus Update LX
Posted inStatistics

One World Government To End All Pandemics; The Canceling Of John Ioannidis; More! — Coronavirus Update LX

YOU HAVE TO LAUGH Earlier I said 2020 was the year experts pretended to forget all they knew about viruses. I have to correct. I now say 2020 and 2021…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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