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William M. Briggs

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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak
Posted inCulture

Outsourcing Our Protection Made Us Weak

It's too bad we didn't accept the woke's offer to defund the police. They never thought their slogan through, and we should have closed with them before they had the…
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Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Say Conservatives Are Destroying Science

My favorite headline of late is from Stat, which I'll reveal in a brief moment. First, as I was discovering that headline, I saw the site's top crawl, which asked…
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First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita
Posted inCulture Statistics

First Look At The FBI Crime Stats For 2022: I Don’t Even Have To Explain Per Capita

The FBI released its crime report for 2022, and I thought it instructive for us to examine homicide numbers. Homicides from 1985--2022. Now it is, or should be, obvious that…
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Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices
Posted inStatistics

Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices

Robert Sapolsky, a Stanford academic, took decades---decades, he says---to conclude he does not have free will. He chose now as the time to tell us of his decades-long, fruitless search…
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Experts Addle Kids’ Minds Over “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Experts Addle Kids’ Minds Over “Climate Change”

Question from Anon: Why are the left so afraid of climate change? What is they want to preserve exactly? The whole concept doesn't pass the simplest credibility check. They want…
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New Paper Claiming Biological Sex A Fiction Has Normie Academics Pretending To Be Shocked
Posted inCulture Statistics

New Paper Claiming Biological Sex A Fiction Has Normie Academics Pretending To Be Shocked

A new peer-reviewed paper is making normie, which is to say not fully woke, academics to say "Yikes!". The existence of this paper, as you'll see, adds another shovelful of…
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Shifty Unscrupulous Sanctimonious Judge Sentences Douglas Mackey To 7 Months Prison For Making Anti-Regime Jokes
Posted inCulture

Shifty Unscrupulous Sanctimonious Judge Sentences Douglas Mackey To 7 Months Prison For Making Anti-Regime Jokes

Here it is. The "crime" which landed Douglas "Ricky Vaughn" Mackey, who ran a Twitter account that was well known and obviously parody, to seven months in prison. Seven months…
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  1. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  4. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  5. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

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