William M. Briggs

The Pandemic Is Over, Biden Said. No! We Need It, Experts Said

It's always fun when Biden is not under strict supervision---super vision; apt, that, in our technological age. Were those earplugs? Anyway, when not in the eye, he usually ends up…

Statistics

Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That

My enemies managed to change the spelling of Principal in the title. They are everywhere. Principal Component Analysis There is an extremely popular analytic technique called Principal Component Analysis, or…

Culture

The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality

Marilyn "vos Savant" scored one major victory in her life. (More than most.) She correctly (copied? noodled?) the correct answer to the Monty Hall problem. Which by itself is only…

Culture

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Last summer a pair of gentlemen came to interview me about the coronadoom. It was to be for the movie The Greatest Reset. Which is now out. (It's free, but…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

Previous post. We walk down the aisle this week. Today's lesson is: get married, have babies. ON THE SACRAMENT OF MATRIMONY 1 Now, we grant that by the sacraments men…

Statistics

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re?…

Culture

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

We met our favorite headline the other day: Climate Change Destroys World, Pregnant People Hardest Hit. A version of that headline rolls off the science press about weekly, now. They…

Culture

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

You're sick. Not doing at all well. You go to a celebrated doctor (God bless you for trusting him) at a major hospital. Guy was recommended by many as knowing…

Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
@Cary Motorcycle accident? No, that was due to covid.
Cary D Cotterman on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
In the mid '70s I was the janitor at Cal Tech's Kerkhoff Marine Laboratory, where they studied the effects of…
Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
I'm waiting for members of the California Coastal Commission to start disappearing.
Bill Hankel on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
Thank you for your application of common sense (and math!) to this issue. I have never been a conspiracy theorist,…
Lucy Tucker on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026
You’re the best?????

William M. Briggs

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

The Pandemic Is Over, Biden Said. No! We Need It, Experts Said

Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That

The Bizarre, And Really Quite Hilarious, Belief In Male & Female Equality

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification