William M. Briggs

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…

Statistics

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

O! CANADA So a lawsuit was brought against the Canadian government in Ontario, on behalf of Adam Skelly and his company Adamson Barbecue, disputing the painful, harmful, and medically useless…

Culture

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

To help celebrate your Dependence Day, this exciting news from our boys---and girls!---and its!---in blue: "The new Air Force fitness test will feature walking instead of running and modified push-ups".…

Fun

Happy Fourth of July

Fun

We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like

Headline: "Newark, New Jersey, set a record at 102 degrees with a feels like temperature of 109 degrees." Thus are Newarkians (Newarkers?) denied the opportunity of knowing what a temperature…

Culture

Hating That Which Is Evil & Fined For It

There are various translations of Paul's letter to the Romans, but while the words differ, the substance remains the same: Let love be genuine; hate what is evil, hold fast…

Statistics

America Is A Conquered Country Which Flies A Foreign Flag

It's a practice as ancient as warfare itself. The victor tears down the enemy's totem and replaces it with his own. How many battles have we read about in which…

Statistics

Fauci Flashback; Vexxine Harms; Conspiracies; Rally Report; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVII

GAFFE OR PLANNED? https://twitter.com/GraduatedBen/status/1409312700291747847 Old, but not forgotten. VEXXINE HARM WSJ: Are Covid Vaccines Riskier Than Advertised? One remarkable aspect of the Covid-19 pandemic has been how often unpopular scientific…

John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026
I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.
Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026
I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…
JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026
Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…
hudbwu on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026
Hume: "People saying things doesn't translate into rules for living." Stultes: "OMG I can do whatever I want!" If only…
hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026
@Rudolph Harrier: it's weird that you mention D&D in relation to LLMs. In my experience, nothing shows the utter impotence…

William M. Briggs

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing

The Equality Paradox

My Horrible Interaction With AI

SOON

The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Happy Birthday to US

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!

The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove

Marbles!

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Truly Random Numbers Found?

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

Happy Fourth of July

We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like

Hating That Which Is Evil & Fined For It

America Is A Conquered Country Which Flies A Foreign Flag

Fauci Flashback; Vexxine Harms; Conspiracies; Rally Report; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVII

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification