William M. Briggs

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

UNCERTAINTY REQUIREMENTS If you say a calamity will befall me, and ask me to pay to protect against it, the burden is on you to (a) prove the calamity is…

Culture

How Will The Killing Begin?

What follows is a big suppose. Just that: a suppose. So don't get too worked up. Suppose in the once United States, the left spirals out of control, as it…

Statistics

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Look for new plots in the update below. A RARE SIGHTING I will join this robust list of malcontents, lunatics, deniers, outcasts and iconoclasts in my speech, "Fools! I will…

Statistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II

Previous post. Chapter 11 is too much to do in one go. I'm splitting it up in two parts. HOW GENERATION IS TO BE UNDERSTOOD IN DIVINITY, AND WHAT IS…

Culture

Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling

Saturdays are good days to think about subscribing. Recall you host is wholly independent (as if any would have him!). So the oligarchs had Biden mask up and meet our…

Culture

Lying About Structural Racism In Medicine

We are used to our elites and rulers lying to us these days. Nobody, even partisans, expects what they hear from on high is the truth. Partisans don't mind the…

Statistics

The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report

We haven't finished with the coroandoom panic, not yet. The leeches ("reporters") are still running around screaming about "raging surges", "surging rages", "variants", "breaking points", and so on and so…

Uncle Mike on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026
There have been many bad popes, but also many wonderful ones. Pope Saint John Paul II was, well, saintly. His…
Brian (bulaoren) on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026
If our rights derive from God, and if the pope is God's primary interlocutor (Pontifax Maximus) can we sue the…
Robert Arvanitis on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026
You are correct in one point. The American enterprise, unlike all previous societies, is for all Men. Not based on…
Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…
spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026
It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

William M. Briggs

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

How Will The Killing Begin?

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity II

Biden Told To Say No More Meat To Combat Global Cooling

Lying About Structural Racism In Medicine

The Transition To Our Next Panic/Power-Grabbing Scheme — Earth Day Special Report

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification