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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
The COVID Vaccine and the False Promises of Science — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inStatistics

The COVID Vaccine and the False Promises of Science — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

You have heard that Big Pharma, led by Pfizer, will deliver us from corona virus. There will of course be a vaccine, and it will of course be costly. Proof…
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Two New Podcasts: Discernable with Matt Wong & Chronicles of Strength with Pat Flynn
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Two New Podcasts: Discernable with Matt Wong & Chronicles of Strength with Pat Flynn

Discernable with Matt Wong Podcast, followed by Wong's show notes. 1:14 Worldwide reaction to Covid-19 4:27 Where has the flu gone? 6:08 Are lockdowns beneficial? 8:47 Cases vs Infections 11:55…
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Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken
Posted inStatistics

Loathsome Unethical Academics React To The Kraken

Many will have already seen my analysis of Matt Braynard's poll asking people in several states whether they requested an absentee ballot, and whether or not they returned that ballot.…
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The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
Posted inClass Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
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COVID Will Be With US Forever, So Calm Down: Coronavirus Update XLII
Posted inStatistics

COVID Will Be With US Forever, So Calm Down: Coronavirus Update XLII

EFFEMINACY https://twitter.com/punditclass/status/1333111031103582208 Half of the entire world lost its mind. https://twitter.com/HansKoppies/status/1333443125881270272 Elderly Woman Euthanized to Avoid Anguish of Lockdown Loneliness Good morning, Doctor. "Good morning, Mrs Jones." Any updates? "Yes.…
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Stats I Helped With In Sidney Powell’s Michigan Kraken
Posted inStatistics

Stats I Helped With In Sidney Powell’s Michigan Kraken

Our Michigan report is in the system! It's been put on line here. Part of it is repetition, and can be viewed in this original post: Stats I Did For…
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Three Words — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Three Words — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Our Summa Contra Gentiles picks up again next week. There are two words that are widely used today, and a third that is relatively unknown. None of them are really…
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On That Censored Johns Hopkins All-Cause Death Analysis
Posted inStatistics

On That Censored Johns Hopkins All-Cause Death Analysis

Update Welcome Lifesite readers! I am saddened to learn that I am billed as "former statistician William M. Briggs". I'm not sure what Lifesite knows, but I am checking with…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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