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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
The Fight Must Be Local — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Fight Must Be Local — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Anyone who says the Constitution is a living document is either a tool or an idiot. The Constitution is dead. As of last week, you have exactly zero rights. None.…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Man Cannot Be Freed From Sin Except By Grace
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Man Cannot Be Freed From Sin Except By Grace

Previous post. A very simple pre-Christmas lesson. You cannot heal your mortal wounds yourself, for an offence that is infinite requires infinite power. THAT MAN CANNOT BE FREED FROM SIN…
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Separate Red & Blue? They’d Never Let Us Go
Posted inCulture

Separate Red & Blue? They’d Never Let Us Go

"Rebecca", perhaps a descendant of Abraham Lincoln, took quill in hand to write "The Separation" at the American Mind. It's one of a spate of musings on the feasibility and…
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Diversity Is Our Weakness: Special Forces Edition
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Special Forces Edition

https://twitter.com/USSOCOM/status/1337041831247360006 For those that can't see the tweet from the "Official Twitter account for the U.S. Special Operations Command", it reads "'Diversity and inclusion requires action. It requires decisions and…
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JAMA: Evidence Government Solutions To Prevent Transmission of COVID Cause Transmission of COVID
Posted inStatistics

JAMA: Evidence Government Solutions To Prevent Transmission of COVID Cause Transmission of COVID

Here is the opening of the abstract in the new JAMA paper "Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis" by Madewell et al. "Importance Crowded indoor environments, such…
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FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?
Posted inStatistics

FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?

WHO'S IN CHARGE FDA report is here. Before discussing it, I want to emphasize that making this vaccine mandatory is evil, the work of tyrants. There is nothing in the…
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Cuomo, Whitmer, Newsom Are Worse Than Wrong: Coronavirus Update XLIV
Posted inStatistics

Cuomo, Whitmer, Newsom Are Worse Than Wrong: Coronavirus Update XLIV

OPEN TYRANNY The Godmother closed restaurants again. Not because of any new evidence. Not because of any evidence at all. Because he could. Because there's nothing you can, or will,…
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Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell
Posted inStatistics

Results Consistent With Vote Switching Seen In Eaton County, Michigan — Guest Post by Stan Young, Tom Davis & Eric Quinnell

Briggs Do not let Biden, who sold the office of Vice Presidency, frighten you. The fight continues. https://twitter.com/SidneyPowell1/status/1337653024349687808 I'm part of this; for example, Georgia. Click through to the main…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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