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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2026
Continue Reading
Illegal Voting By The Numbers
Posted inCulture Statistics

Illegal Voting By The Numbers

This post originally ran 31 January 2017. Voter fraud is an old, old story. Old posts do NOT re-email to followers. How many votes in the past presidential election were…
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Officials Demand Mandatory Coronavirus Vaccination, Else Thou Shalt Not Eat
Posted inStatistics

Officials Demand Mandatory Coronavirus Vaccination, Else Thou Shalt Not Eat

There's only so many times you can make the Mark of the Beast joke before it ceases being funny. May I beg that if I let someone else tell it…
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One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool
Posted inStatistics

One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool

Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections…
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Voter Fraud Is — Rare — Common — Impossible — Russia! Russia! Russia! — A Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

Voter Fraud Is — Rare — Common — Impossible — Russia! Russia! Russia! — A Conspiracy Theory

I'm working on more analysis which will appear soon. The media can't make up its mind. Not about Trump, whom they loathe because the man called them out for what…
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Do Not Buy The Manufactured Second-Wave Panic: Coronavirus Update XXXIX
Posted inStatistics

Do Not Buy The Manufactured Second-Wave Panic: Coronavirus Update XXXIX

THE WARNING The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic into a Catastrophe It is with no pleasure that I announce we told you so. The…
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More Anomalies In Late Vote Additions In Pennsylvania
Posted inStatistics

More Anomalies In Late Vote Additions In Pennsylvania

Thanks to all the people who responded to yesterday's post. It's been a busy few days, and getting busier, so I'll be slow in answering emails and requests. It's been…
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Two Statistical Curiosities That Allowed Biden To Pull Ahead In PA: ONE CURIOSITY SOLVED: BAD DATA ENTRY
Posted inStatistics

Two Statistical Curiosities That Allowed Biden To Pull Ahead In PA: ONE CURIOSITY SOLVED: BAD DATA ENTRY

Important update 11 November 8:45 PM The missing votes appear to have been a data input error. The totals at the end of the early data I was given were…
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“We Have A List” — The Left Smells Blood
Posted inCulture

“We Have A List” — The Left Smells Blood

WARNING: The COVID project announced record testing, which leads to record "cases", i.e. positives. The may move to mandatory quarantines in some places because of the political situation using the…
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  1. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  2. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

  3. Andras Kuthi on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 19, 2026

    Contemplate that Epstein won the New Mexico lottery...so much for randomly generated numbers.

  4. Rich on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 18, 2026

    Perhaps she and her friends would accept being paid according to the indigenous mathematics of crows who can, apparently, count…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Lunatics like this Kather are well-paid and get great benefits for putting out hooey like that. People pay a lot…

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