William M. Briggs

Against Papal Encyclicals — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

The program with papal encyclicals is the same: Every few years the windows of the Vatican open and a forty-thousand word puff of smoke is exhaled. No one quite knows…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How Faith Arises

Previous post. The knowledge that is faith and its objects must come from above. This isn't just faith in God, but in all unprovable matters in which there is absolute…

Philosophy Statistics

A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox

Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…

Culture

The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example

Ed Lorenz back in 1961 was running, on a computer!, a simple weather model, with twelve full parameters. This was in the days of punch cards and paper print outs.…

Philosophy

Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race

There are many positions on IQ, the so-called intelligence quotient, but most fall into two camps. Those who reject IQ measures outright, because racism, and those who claim people have…

Statistics

It’s OVER, Yet The Coronadoom Corpse Walks On: Updates — Coronavirus Update XXXIV

Testing is already at stupid levels, but it is scheduled to increase. This can make a dead epidemic seem still alive. Testing will make coronadoom zombies. Please spread this post…

Statistics

Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom

After I wrote this, I went over to Drudge, which I rarely do these days, and he's on full blown hersteria about Trump's illness. Hilarious. So Trump has caught the…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How We Can Love God

Previous post. Key quote: "because of [love], even difficult things are lightly regarded." Who, who has experienced love, can deny this? THAT SANCTIFYING GRACE CAUSES THE LOVE OF GOD IN…

The True Nolan on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 11, 2026
If Dawkins were more honest or perhaps more insightful he would say that "Claudia responds AS IF she were conscious."…
RW Pearson on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
In liberal California, I luckily live in Orange County, where our good Sheriff is issuing CCW permits and they are…
Cary D Cotterman on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
For murderers and certain other committers of heinous crimes, I am for trials and death sentences on Fridays, the weekend…
Chad Jessup on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
How about three strikes, and you're dead, which of course would only be for the very violent criminals. Why warehouse…
shawn marshall on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026
General Pyotr Wrangel in his bokk "Always with Honor" immediately stopped the predation by his own troo[s upon peasants by…

William M. Briggs

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model