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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Proof!

Posted by By Briggs April 8, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Hard to summarize the week in doom. There is no consistency or coherence to anything. We have experts and the media telling us to go out and protest and not…
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Posted inCulture

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

There are 1000 different things going on, and which threads are relevant? Which aren't? Who are the players? Let's start with the far left, the so-called progressive wing. These are…
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The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War
Posted inCulture

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

Insurrectionists in Seattle have created an "autonomous zone". Many laugh about this. They shouldn't. The sniveling fools in official charge of that city---those that are not actively complicit in the…
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The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM
Posted inCulture

The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM

The cult is growing and strength and number. Most of our leaders cannot stand against it, being either cowards, true converts, or in on the would-be color revolution. It is…
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Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: In What Way Poverty Is Good
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: In What Way Poverty Is Good

Previous post. The long and complicated arguments for and against poverty continue. There are arguments that will be countered next week. IN WHAT WAY POVERTY IS GOOD 1 So, then,…
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The Month In Doom — End Of Civilization Edition
Posted inCulture

The Month In Doom — End Of Civilization Edition

It's been a while since our last Doom. It wasn't needed. We had three solid months of the coronavirus of Doom. Then ten days of Riot Doom and the people…
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  1. Brendan P O'Sullivan on Class 85: Proper Scores of Model GoodnessApril 9, 2026

    Bill - An opportunity to help fellow Vets! Look at the following - regarding jet fuel exposure to vets -…

  2. Steve on Proof!April 9, 2026

    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

  3. gareth on Proof!April 9, 2026

    Read it here, please. Which I did, and recommend others do too :-)

  4. Cloudbuster on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    One logical conclusion you could draw from this is that psychology isn't medicine and therapists and psychologists should not be…

  5. spetzer86 on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 8, 2026

    Black people are reported as having a life expectancy of 75 years in the USA. That would give us another…

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April 2026
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