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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
December 29, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Posted by By Briggs February 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Posted by By Briggs February 3, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy

Essence Is Of The Essence

This is Part II of my answer to Mayo's quip. See Part I. Obviously, it's only a wee fraction of what could be said. Are you you? I do not…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Not That Useful

False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn't think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for…
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Posted inCulture

Behind The Russian Madness — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: this is third in a series, Part I, Part II. You can learn about Patriarch Kirill of Moscow here. The Russians are mad. No, I don't mean they're…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Most Published Research Wrong? Yep. Here’s Why

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q One of my students---my heart soars like a hawk!---sent me the video linked above. I'll assume you've watched it, as my comments make reference to it. About the dismal…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: There Is Free Will

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. At last!…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The City Of Sodom Possibly Identified (On Evidence)

A team of archaeologists are making the case for Sodom. Not for buggery, mind, but for the historical location of the doomed city. And when you hear the evidence for…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: AP’s LGBT ‘Rights’ Survey: Stacked, Biased, Bogus

Today's post is at The Stream: AP's LGBT 'Rights' Survey: Stacked, Biased, Bogus. AP is reporting young Americans "overwhelmingly support LGBT rights", a proposition deduced from a GenForward survey "of…
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  1. Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026

    I’m ready to give up the right to vote.

  2. spetzer86 on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 5, 2026

    Could this scenario validate (A) and (D)? (A): When living in a country with a strong, pervasive religious belief, particularly…

  3. spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026

    I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.

  4. Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

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