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Refrigerated Trucks for Piles of COVID-19 Bodies: Reader Writes
Posted inStatistics

Refrigerated Trucks for Piles of COVID-19 Bodies: Reader Writes

Reader JC emailed with this (which I'm using with permission, with added paragraphifications for screen readability): Matt, I thought you might enjoy a panic moment. I'm a funeral director and…
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Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?

The Unmasked Bandit! I originally started this article with an imaginary dialog between myself and a Karen. Then I got kicked out of mass Sunday for not wearing a mask…
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Coronavirus Update XXXIII: The Effect Of HUGE Increases In Testing & False Positives On Continuing The Panic
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXXIII: The Effect Of HUGE Increases In Testing & False Positives On Continuing The Panic

The Godmother Want proof this is all now politics, pure politics? Here's the Godmother (misquoting his own law): https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1310722984076865537 Here is the actual state of the coronadoom crisis in all…
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Vaccine Side Effects, Inefficiencies & Corporate Greed: Coronavirus Upate XLIX
Posted inStatistics

Vaccine Side Effects, Inefficiencies & Corporate Greed: Coronavirus Upate XLIX

VACCINE The hope of the vaccines (there are, as you know, many flavors) was that it would calm people down---never mind all the other considerations, which are important but which…
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Coronvirus Update XIX: UPDATE: Screw Spikes, Surges, Records In New Cases
Posted inStatistics

Coronvirus Update XIX: UPDATE: Screw Spikes, Surges, Records In New Cases

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Has The Surrender To Reality Begun? — Coronavirus Update LVII
Posted inStatistics

Has The Surrender To Reality Begun? — Coronavirus Update LVII

ALAS, NO DOOM Remember the wild wails of coming doom predicted with Texas returned to liberty? Didn't happen. Left column: fear-based states. Right column: liberty-based states. Seems the coronadoom doesn't…
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Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?
Posted inStatistics

Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?

The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): "Now we're all here…
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What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example
Posted inPhilosophy

What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example

There is, as de Finetti said, no such thing as probability. So there is no such thing as risk, either, since risk relies upon probability. If there is no such…
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  1. Glenn Ammons on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    Thanks, this is a very understandable summary of your arguments against p-values and frequentism. There is a mistake in the…

  2. J. Johnson on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Well you convinced me to never use p-values, and how to articulate to others why they shouldn’t either. I’d say…

  3. Ed on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    As a teacher who's seen, in the eyes of many a student (pun intended), the inglorious mist of complete misunderstanding,…

  4. Uncle Mike on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    I disagree with your hypothesis that "my career has largely been a failure". You shouldn't expect the world to immediately…

  5. McChuck on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Modern scientific statistics is nothing more than a roleplaying game based on a 20 sided die. The game master (study…

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