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Latest Articles
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
June 30, 2025
Class 56: The Best Model!
June 26, 2025
Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification
June 25, 2025
England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women
June 24, 2025
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Posted inStatistics

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Posted by By Briggs June 30, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 56: The Best Model!

Posted by By Briggs June 26, 2025
Continue Reading
N.S. Lyons On The Shape & Trajectory Of The Expertocracy
Posted inCulture

N.S. Lyons On The Shape & Trajectory Of The Expertocracy

The most important book (or booklet) you can read this year about nature of the Expertocracy, and the differences between Expertocracies, is N.S. Lyons's (sub-optimally named) The China Convergence, a…
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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms
Posted inCulture

Climate Propaganda Doing A Magnificent Job, Pew Confirms

Remember that New Jersey school system that adds "climate change" propaganda to every class in each year of schooling, kindergarten through twelfth grade? They, and schools like them, are doing…
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What Happened At An Academic Expert Disinformation Summit
Posted inCulture

What Happened At An Academic Expert Disinformation Summit

We---but not Anon, who reports below---missed the Cambridge Disinformation Summit, held the last week of July (Videoes). Conference organizers described their sensitivity soirée thusly: Strategic disinformation is an accelerant for…
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Crazy Eddie’s Craziest Scams
Posted inBook review

Crazy Eddie’s Craziest Scams

You must have seen the ads (like this). Even if you didn't live in or around New York, they were infamous. They featured radioman Jerry Carroll---I was disappointed to learn…
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Soy Boy vs Moi Boi & The Fate Of Russia — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Soy Boy vs Moi Boi & The Fate Of Russia — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Is it possible? Can it be true that behind the scenes of the Ukrainian War there is a deep-state complicity between the Western WEF-types and the Eastern ‘Sino-Soviet’ types? That…
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Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!
Posted inStatistics

Mask Forever, Says Experts’ Model, It Saves Lives!

Here's a question for you, brought to you by propagandists: "Could permanent masks in public become Vic policy?" And here's the headline: "Could wearing masks in public be the answer…
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Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?
Posted inPhilosophy

Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?

Let's expand a point made in the post Blish & Spengler On The End Science. Both Blish, in his summary of Spengler, and Spengler himself, said that West Civilization (in…
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  1. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  2. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  3. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  4. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  5. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

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