William M. Briggs

Briggs You Tool! UFOs Are Real & Driven By Top Secret American Pilots, Insists Reader

I changed the title, slightly, from Briggs, You Fool! You'll see why. Anon writes: You’ve missed the entire point about the ufo story. You can deny the existence of alien…

Culture

Academics Fear People. They Study Them & Wish They Could Shut Them Up

We are going to explore, in a series of posts, the Mind of The Academic. There is much to say on this depressing-yet-amusing topic, which by itself is worthy of…

Statistics

What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

Statistics

Briggs’s Best Broken Science Blast

Here's my talk at the fourth Broken Science Initiative event in Aromas, California, from just over a week ago. (Direct link.) The content in the speech is different than in…

Culture

The Regime Makes Its Move: Federal Power Pre-Fortified — Forever?

TRUMP INDICTED OVER STEALING WHITE HOUSE OFFICE SUPPLIES. "He took a whole box of pens," said Merrick Garland. "This is clearly illegal. It is theft, and I expect all news…

Culture

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Our friend Jaap Hanekamp returns with an essay to remind us it is going to get worse. This essay, slightly modified, first appeared on his site. Experts insist on destroying…

Statistics

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…

Statistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…

Peter Aiello on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026
When I was growing up, being an avid reader was touted as the way to success in life. I was…
McChuck on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026
It's not just you. SciFi and Fantasy died in the 1980's, and was buried under a mountain of dreck in…
NLR on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 11, 2026
"AI" will not come alive, but also, it has been over three years and none of the "AI" predictions have…
Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…
Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026
I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

William M. Briggs

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Briggs You Tool! UFOs Are Real & Driven By Top Secret American Pilots, Insists Reader

Academics Fear People. They Study Them & Wish They Could Shut Them Up

What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means

Briggs’s Best Broken Science Blast

The Regime Makes Its Move: Federal Power Pre-Fortified — Forever?

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification