Day three of classical posts on global warming, now “climate change”. Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation this week […]
Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he’d never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about my cynical […]
HUFFIN’, PUFFIN’ & BLUFFIN’ The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb—the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the start of […]
Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, […]
All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven’t seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section if you […]
The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It isn’t sticking, […]
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, “The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is the number […]
Intro I thought it would be fun to turn the daily coronavirus predictions I’ve been making into statistics class, complete with code. There are two parts to this: (1) the details of […]
Recent Comments